Showing posts with label Dead Cat Bounce. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dead Cat Bounce. Show all posts

14 August 2011

Tyro Trader's Analysis - Aug 12

Our index has been going up the past 3 days. Last Friday though, it did close with a bearish looking shooting star pattern. This shows that some investors took advantage of the rally by unloading their positions while some who went bottomfishing begun taking proftis. If you'll notice in the charts, the 3 day rally really just filled the gap that was formed when the index gapped down last Aug 9. It also allowed prices to normalize within the bollinger band. The big question now is, are we going to consolidate within a range (between 4,360 and 4,130) or was this rally just a dead cat bounce and we're en route to further declines? Don't really know the answer to that as of yet. In case you want to trade this very uncertain market, you have the aforementioned price points as your range.

















Good luck with your trades!

Chart courtesy of citiseconline.

Disclaimer: My above analysis are just that: analysis. I am in not in anyway soliciting for you to buy or sell any security issue. The only person accountable for the trades you make would be yourself and I cannot be held liable in any way for the same

10 August 2011

Tyro Trader's Analysis - Aug 10

DOW finally rebounded from way oversold conditions. Unfortunately, the damage has been done to our PSE. Looks like my previous bearish assumption was that assumed by the market; that we won't be seeing our previous high anytime soon.

All this volatility has resulted in stocks gapping down and gapping up left and right. Given the erratic behaviour of most stocks, I still find it difficult to ascertain patterns in their charts. For the aggressive trader, this erratic market can still be traded albeit just for quick punts. Just look for the gaps to be covered afterwhich, I would immediately get out. For the more conservative ones, you could just wait it out until the volatility subsides.

For those caught with positions from the previous highs and consolidations, you could use this rally as a chance to get out, hopefully with still some profits no matter how small, or to just cut your losses. At this point, its still too early to tell whether the rally we had today is already a reversal or just a dead cat bounce. Capital preservation should ideally be one's priority given the market condition that we currently have.

Good luck as always!

Disclaimer: My above analysis are just that: analysis. I am in not in anyway soliciting for you to buy or sell any security issue. The only person accountable for the trades you make would be yourself and I cannot be held liable in any way for the same